UNDERSTANDING WEALTH CYCLES • STEP 2 OF 4
Global Cycles Dashboard
The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent. But cycles don't lie. They show you when assets are cheap and when they're expensive.
Adapted from John Maynard Keynes
Live cycle data showing historical valuation positions for 10+ asset classes.
Your Learning Journey
Your Learning Journey
This Step Takes: 15 minutes
Why This Matters
75% of investors make timing mistakes: buying high and selling low. This dashboard shows you historical valuation positions based on where each asset sits in its long-run cycle. No guessing, just data.
See historical valuation positions for every asset. Stop guessing, start using data.
All Asset Cycle Positions
Historical cycle positions for 10+ asset classes. Green = Historically Cheap (0-25th percentile).
Yellow = Fair Value (25-75th). Red = Historically Expensive (75-100th).
Green = Historically Cheap • Yellow = Fair Value • Red = Historically Expensive
Oil (WTI)
🌍OIL
Percentile
35%
Mid-range
Near cyclical lows
Ethereum
🌍ETH
Percentile
48%
Mid-range
Likely higher
Solana
🌍SOL
Percentile
52%
Mid-range
Likely higher
Darwin House
🇦🇺DARWIN
Percentile
55%
Mid-range
Resources sector dependent
Copper
🇦🇺COPPER
Percentile
58%
Mid-range
EV & infrastructure demand
Hobart House
🇦🇺HOBART
Percentile
65%
Mid-range
Tourism recovery
Perth House
🇦🇺PERTH
Percentile
70%
Mid-range
Mining boom benefits
Bitcoin
🌍BTC
Percentile
72%
Mid-range
Likely higher
Adelaide House
🇦🇺ADELAIDE
Percentile
72%
Mid-range
Affordability migration
ASX 200
🇦🇺ASX200
Percentile
75%
Historically expensive
Moderate growth expected
Melbourne House
🇦🇺MELBOURNE
Percentile
75%
Historically expensive
Stabilizing after correction
XRP
🌍XRP
Percentile
78%
Historically expensive
Consolidation likely
Canberra House
🇦🇺CANBERRA
Percentile
78%
Historically expensive
Government sector stability
Silver
🌍SILVER
Percentile
85%
Historically expensive
Industrial demand strong
Brisbane House
🇦🇺BRISBANE
Percentile
85%
Historically expensive
Olympics 2032 tailwind
S&P 500
🇺🇸SPX
Percentile
88%
Historically expensive
Historically stretched
Gold
🌍GOLD
Percentile
92%
Historically expensive
All-time highs, historically stretched
Sydney House
🇦🇺SYDNEY
Percentile
92%
Historically expensive
Most expensive, historically stretched
Current Market Summary
Designed for Australian Investors
Default view shows ASX 200 and AU Property. Copper is flagged 🇦🇺 as Australia is a major producer. Crypto and commodities prices are global. Toggle to USD for comparison.
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Remember: Cycles, Not Trades
This dashboard is designed for long-term wealth building, not day trading. The best results come from patient accumulation during cheap phases (0-25th percentile) and gradual profit-taking during expensive phases (75-100th percentile). Most successful investors check monthly, not daily.
Wealth Cycles - SEE IT: Complete
- Real-time cycle indicators show you where each major asset (stocks, gold, Bitcoin) is in its historical range.
- Green zone (0-33rd percentile) means historically cheap: assets in this zone have historically offered better long-term entry points based on past cycles. Red zone (67th-100th) means historically expensive. Proceed with extra caution.
- This dashboard updates regularly to help you understand current market conditions in their historical context.
Homework
Look at the current positions above. Which assets are in the green (historically cheap) zone? Which are in the red (historically expensive) zone? How does your current portfolio compare to these historical valuation zones?
Screenshot the current dashboard. In 3 months, come back and compare the positions. Notice how they shift. Start thinking about how cycle context might inform your thinking as assets move between zones.
What's Next?
15 minutes
Educational Purpose Only
These signals are for educational purposes to help you understand market cycles. They are NOT personalised investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial adviser before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.